FC Haka vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
10º
8º
15
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Haka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
FCL
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
4 - 1
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 0
HAK
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
CRU
29%
24%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 2
IFK
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 2
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
IFK
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 0
IFK
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
OUL
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |