Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 0
HKS
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HKS
3 - 0
NKV
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HKS
1 - 2
INT
73%
17%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
HKS
3 - 2
KAR
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LUK
0 - 3
HKS
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
ZAG
1 - 1
HNK
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 0
ZAG
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
ZAG
0 - 2
SPL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SPL
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
INT
3 - 1
ZAG
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |