Guilsfield FC vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
76.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 0
MOL
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
GUI
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
4 - 2
CAR
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +4 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FLI
2 - 0
GUI
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DEN
5 - 3
GUI
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |