Guerreros vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
56.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 3
GUE
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TIJ
3 - 0
GUE
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 2
VER
16%
25%
60%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UDG
3 - 1
GUE
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 3
IRA
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 2
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 1
LOB
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 2
IRA
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 2
LOB
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LOB
1 - 0
DOR
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |