Guarany de Sobral vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 4
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
FOR
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
COT
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
NOV
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
HOR
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
FLO
1 - 2
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FER
30%
23%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |