Guarany de Bagé vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ISM
2 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ECA
0 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
LAJ
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEB
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
SGA
2 - 1
LAJ
24%
26%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 0
SGA
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
ECA
3 - 1
SGA
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SGA
1 - 1
GEB
39%
27%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
SGA
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |