Guaraní vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
CCP
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AME
2 - 4
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 0
NAC
63%
20%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 6
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 0
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LQE
2 - 0
RÑU
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 3
OLI
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
RÑU
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RÑU
3 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |