Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AME
0 - 4
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
12O
2 - 2
GUA
19%
25%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
VEL
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
SFE
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |