Guarani RS vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
ECA
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 0
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
PEL
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ECA
1 - 2
GUA
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
SGA
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SGA
0 - 0
PEL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ECA
0 - 1
SGA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 1
SGA
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
SGA
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -2 |