Guaraní vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAM
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CON
1 - 4
GUA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRB
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
LON
0 - 1
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRZ
24%
30%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
BRU
44%
28%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
VIL
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
BRA
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
REM
0 - 1
VIL
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |