Guaraní A. Franco vs Libertad Sunchales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 1
SOL
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 1
GAF
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 3
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 0
DPR
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
GAF
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad Sunchales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
GIM
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 0
LIB
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
DPR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SOL
1 - 3
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
GAF
27%
28%
45%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |