Guangzhou City vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
6 - 2
HAN
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 3
GUA
38%
27%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIA
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TIT
1 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HEN
1 - 0
SHA
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
0 - 0
HEN
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HEN
2 - 2
DAL
35%
28%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
HEN
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
HEN
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |