Ambrosiana vs Adriese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
54.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
GSD
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GSD
2 - 1
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
GSD
76%
14%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GSD
1 - 3
CLO
39%
22%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
GSD
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SDA
2 - 0
CLO
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LUI
1 - 6
SDA
8%
15%
78%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
SDA
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SDA
1 - 2
CJA
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 3
SDA
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |