Greuther Fürth vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
ROT
0 - 4
SGF
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
SGF
0 - 1
KAI
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SGF
4 - 3
TUS
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FSV
1 - 1
SGF
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
SGF
5 - 2
STP
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
OSN
1 - 0
TUS
39%
26%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ING
2 - 1
OSN
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
OSN
3 - 2
FSV
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
M05
4 - 2
OSN
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
OSN
2 - 2
SCF
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |