Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SGF
1 - 3
HAN
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
SSV
0 - 2
SGF
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
SGF
3 - 0
STP
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
GDA
3 - 0
SGF
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
FCV
0 - 0
SGF
40%
23%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARB
6 - 0
SSV
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ARB
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
ARB
2 - 0
RTV
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
STP
3 - 4
ARB
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
FTC
0 - 0
ARB
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |