Gresley vs Lincoln United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
64.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
4 - 1
GRE
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
GRE
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
TAD
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 3
GRE
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lincoln United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 2
LOU
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
WIS
2 - 2
LIN
6%
11%
82%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 2
PIC
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 4
LIN
27%
20%
52%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |