Grêmio vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
22%
27%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRI
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAM
36%
30%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SPO
27%
31%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 1
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITU
27%
30%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |