Grêmio vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRE
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
CUI
73%
17%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
4 - 2
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 1
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
AMF
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 1
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 0
SAN
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |