Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
GRE
18%
26%
57%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
CSA
85%
12%
4%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
SCI
61%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 3
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOT
73%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 4
VAS
81%
14%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAH
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
15%
23%
62%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 1
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
GOI
2 - 2
FLA
13%
22%
65%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |