Grêmio vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
28%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1994 |
GRE
1 - 0
CEA
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1994 |
CEA
0 - 0
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1994 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1994 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
CRI
1 - 1
COR
34%
31%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1994 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 1994 |
CRI
2 - 2
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
ATP
0 - 1
CRI
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
CRI
0 - 1
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |