Greenock Morton vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
STI
2 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 2
PET
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ALL
3 - 2
GRE
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 0
STR
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
RAI
1 - 3
GRE
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CWB
3 - 2
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
CWB
1 - 2
RAI
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
PET
1 - 0
CWB
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CWB
1 - 1
AYR
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ALL
2 - 1
CWB
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |