FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 3-2
Grays Athletic vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 4
DAV
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 5
HOR
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 0
TIL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
4 - 3
BUR
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 3
HER
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
MER
0 - 2
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
MER
34%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PEA
4 - 2
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
HAS
30%
25%
46%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |