Grays Athletic vs Harlow Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
THA
1 - 5
GRA
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
MAL
69%
18%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
WAL
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TIL
2 - 1
GRA
26%
24%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 2
RED
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
RED
2 - 1
HAR
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HAR
5 - 3
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 3
LEI
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 1
HAR
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 0
TIL
58%
22%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |