De Graafschap vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
5 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 0
FCE
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
TEL
2 - 1
GRA
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 2
VVV
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FCD
1 - 0
VOL
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
FCD
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
3 - 2
FCD
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
FCD
1 - 1
RKC
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 2
FCD
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |