De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 3
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRA
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
BVO
2 - 3
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
LIE
56%
22%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
BVO
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 4
FEY
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |