Gozzano vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 1
GOZ
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GOZ
2 - 0
MAP
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 2
GOZ
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GOZ
3 - 0
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
GOZ
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOR
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 2
NOV
47%
24%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |