Carioca Série B1 Segunda Ronda. Jor. 10

Goytacaz vs Serra Macaense analysis

Goytacaz Serra Macaense
42 ELO 34
-15.8% Tilt -13.2%
23053º General ELO ranking 23060º
617º Country ELO ranking 624º
ELO win probability
57.7%
Goytacaz
25.1%
Draw
17.3%
Serra Macaense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
Goytacaz
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.3%
Win probability
Serra Macaense
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Goytacaz
-8%
-51%
Serra Macaense

ELO progression

Goytacaz
Serra Macaense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Goytacaz
Goytacaz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2017
ITA
Itaborai
3 - 1
Goytacaz
GOY
50%
24%
26%
43 45 2 0
16 Aug. 2017
GOY
Goytacaz
0 - 0
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
57%
25%
18%
43 36 7 0
12 Aug. 2017
AME
Americano
0 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
55%
24%
21%
43 45 2 0
08 Aug. 2017
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 0
Barra Mansa
BAR
66%
22%
12%
43 27 16 0
05 Aug. 2017
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 0
América RJ
AME
39%
28%
34%
42 45 3 +1

Matches

Serra Macaense
Serra Macaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2017
SER
Serra Macaense
1 - 2
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
48%
24%
28%
36 36 0 0
16 Aug. 2017
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 1
Serra Macaense
SER
32%
24%
44%
36 28 8 0
12 Aug. 2017
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 0
Barra da Tijuca
BAR
35%
25%
40%
34 40 6 +2
05 Aug. 2017
FRI
Friburguense
0 - 0
Serra Macaense
SER
68%
20%
12%
33 45 12 +1
02 Aug. 2017
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 2
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
40%
25%
35%
33 38 5 0
X