Gosport Borough vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 2
GOS
32%
25%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GOS
4 - 0
FAR
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
TAV
2 - 3
GOS
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 0
GOS
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GOS
0 - 1
BOG
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
HER
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
SOL
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SOL
0 - 1
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
WES
2 - 0
HER
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SPE
4 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |