Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
FCE
2 - 0
GAE
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TEL
1 - 3
GAE
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
5 - 2
GAE
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 1
HEL
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 2
FCO
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 0
ALM
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
FCE
3 - 1
EXC
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCD
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
MVV
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |