Gloucester City vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
WEA
3 - 1
GLO
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
GLO
3 - 2
KID
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 1
GLO
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 2
GLO
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 0
LEA
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHO
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
WOL
7%
18%
75%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 2
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 2
LEA
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 0
DER
6%
15%
78%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +2 |