Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
GDA
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
GDA
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GDA
1 - 2
BEN
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 3
GDA
21%
25%
55%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GDA
2 - 2
OLI
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAL
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 2
SOU
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
MOR
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
SOU
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
POM
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |