Apertura Argentina Liga Argentina. Jor. 6

Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente analysis

Gimnasia La Plata Independiente
74 ELO 79
7.5% Tilt -4.6%
246º General ELO ranking 128º
22º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
38.8%
Gimnasia La Plata
25.6%
Draw
35.6%
Independiente

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
Gimnasia La Plata
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.6%
Win probability
Independiente
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gimnasia La Plata
-5%
+2%
Independiente

ELO progression

Gimnasia La Plata
Independiente
Arsenal de Sarandí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gimnasia La Plata
Gimnasia La Plata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2007
GLP
Gimnasia La Plata
2 - 0
San Martín San Juan
SMA
69%
20%
11%
73 64 9 0
26 Aug. 2007
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Gimnasia La Plata
GLP
68%
19%
13%
74 84 10 -1
18 Aug. 2007
GLP
Gimnasia La Plata
0 - 2
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
53%
24%
23%
74 74 0 0
11 Aug. 2007
CEN
Rosario Central
2 - 2
Gimnasia La Plata
GLP
51%
26%
23%
74 77 3 0
04 Aug. 2007
GLP
Gimnasia La Plata
0 - 1
Tigre
TIG
73%
18%
9%
75 61 14 -1

Matches

Independiente
Independiente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2007
IND
Independiente
2 - 3
Boca Juniors
BOC
35%
26%
39%
80 84 4 0
25 Aug. 2007
ARG
Argentinos Juniors
0 - 1
Independiente
IND
33%
27%
40%
80 74 6 0
18 Aug. 2007
IND
Independiente
1 - 0
Rosario Central
CEN
55%
25%
20%
79 77 2 +1
12 Aug. 2007
TIG
Tigre
0 - 3
Independiente
IND
18%
26%
56%
79 62 17 0
05 Aug. 2007
IND
Independiente
5 - 3
Lanús
LAN
44%
27%
29%
79 81 2 0
X