Gil Vicente vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ODO
3 - 5
GFC
7%
14%
80%
|
63 | 21 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
GFC
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
GFC
2 - 2
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
GFC
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SCF
3 - 0
GFC
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
ORI
10%
16%
73%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 2
EST
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 2
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FEI
2 - 2
ORI
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 4
SCP
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |