Gil Vicente vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 2
GFC
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
GFC
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
GFC
0 - 0
RIO
53%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
GFC
0 - 2
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FEI
0 - 1
GFC
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
USE
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
PEN
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
CHA
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
SCF
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BMA
2 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |