Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
LAZ
1 - 1
GEN
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
GEN
0 - 0
USA
59%
20%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
PAL
0 - 1
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
GEN
3 - 3
ACM
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 0
GEN
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
NAP
3 - 2
INT
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
24%
21%
55%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
NAP
0 - 1
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
USA
2 - 3
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1935 |
NAP
4 - 0
FIO
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |