Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
43.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 0
CES
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SAM
2 - 1
GEN
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 0
MES
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
40%
30%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
VER
1 - 1
GEN
48%
29%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
LAU
0 - 2
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
JUV
5 - 0
SAM
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
CES
0 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1968 |
JUV
0 - 1
SLB
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
JUV
38%
28%
33%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |