Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
SAS
2 - 1
GEN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
GEN
1 - 1
LAZ
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 2
GEN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 0
GEN
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
UDI
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 2
ATL
15%
19%
66%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 2
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |