Genoa vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
LAZ
4 - 2
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 2
LEC
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 0
BRE
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
CES
1 - 0
BRE
45%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 2
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CES
1 - 0
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |