Gazélec Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
69%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SBF
0 - 1
GAZ
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAI
0 - 1
GAZ
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GAZ
2 - 2
FUR
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
GAZ
1 - 2
SED
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AUX
2 - 2
GAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
LIL
53%
23%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 2
AJA
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |