FA Cup . Previa 2

Garforth Town vs Colne FC analysis

Garforth Town Colne FC
15 ELO 34
30.9% Tilt 23.7%
7439º General ELO ranking 7159º
376º Country ELO ranking 357º
ELO win probability
21.2%
Garforth Town
21.7%
Draw
57.1%
Colne FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
Garforth Town
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
57.1%
Win probability
Colne FC
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Garforth Town
Colne FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Garforth Town
Garforth Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2019
GAR
Garforth Town
3 - 2
Shildon AFC
SHI
15%
16%
69%
12 33 21 0
10 Aug. 2019
SHI
Shildon AFC
0 - 0
Garforth Town
GAR
75%
14%
11%
12 33 21 0
08 Sep. 2018
SOU
South Shields
5 - 1
Garforth Town
GAR
83%
11%
6%
12 51 39 0
25 Aug. 2018
BRI
Bridlington Town
1 - 2
Garforth Town
GAR
66%
17%
17%
11 18 7 +1
11 Aug. 2018
NOR
Northallerton Town
0 - 4
Garforth Town
GAR
32%
20%
49%
10 9 1 +1

Matches

Colne FC
Colne FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2019
COL
Colne FC
1 - 3
Marine
MAR
60%
21%
19%
35 30 5 0
17 Aug. 2019
DRO
Droylsden
3 - 3
Colne FC
COL
24%
23%
53%
35 20 15 0
20 Jul. 2019
COL
Colne FC
2 - 1
Chester
CHE
29%
26%
46%
33 41 8 +2
09 Jul. 2019
HYD
Hyde
1 - 1
Colne FC
COL
55%
22%
22%
33 36 3 0
01 May. 2019
LEE
Leek Town
2 - 1
Colne FC
COL
59%
21%
20%
34 38 4 -1
X