Gama vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SOB
0 - 0
GAM
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
GAM
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
GAM
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 0
INT
68%
22%
11%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
LUZ
48%
27%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
PLA
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
CEI
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
PAR
15%
19%
65%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAG
5%
12%
83%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | +1 |