Brasiliense . Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Gama vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
GAM
11%
19%
70%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
SOB
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
SOB
0 - 5
GAM
11%
19%
70%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
GAM
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
TAG
15%
19%
66%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
TAG
0 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 2
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |