Conference Premier North Round 30

Gainsborough Trinity vs Whitby Town analysis

Gainsborough Trinity Whitby Town
44 ELO 34
-2.8% Tilt 0.4%
5801º General ELO ranking 8000º
192º Country ELO ranking 322º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Gainsborough Trinity
19.9%
Draw
16%
Whitby Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Gainsborough Trinity
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
Whitby Town
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gainsborough Trinity
+20%
+8%
Whitby Town

Points and table prediction

Gainsborough Trinity
Their league position
Whitby Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
19º
52
21º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Macclesfield Town
109
109
100%
Worksop Town
83
83
100%
Stockton Town
75
75
100%
Guiseley
74
74
100%
Ashton United
69
69
100%
Ilkeston Town FC
66
66
100%
Gainsborough Trinity
64
64
100%
Morpeth Town
62
62
100%
Hyde
57
57
0%
Prescot Cables
10º
57
57
10º
0%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
11º
56
56
11º
100%
Workington
12º
52
52
12º
100%
Bamber Bridge
13º
52
52
13º
100%
Hebburn Town
14º
52
52
14º
0%
Leek Town
15º
52
52
15º
0%
Whitby Town
16º
52
52
16º
0%
United of Manchester
17º
51
51
17º
100%
Lancaster City
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Matlock Town
19º
45
45
19º
100%
Mickleover Sports FC
20º
39
39
20º
100%
Basford United
21º
37
37
21º
100%
Blyth Spartans
22º
18
18
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gainsborough Trinity
Whitby Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gainsborough Trinity
Whitby Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gainsborough Trinity
Gainsborough Trinity
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
0 - 1
United of Manchester
UNM
59%
22%
20%
45 39 6 0
15 Mar. 2025
WOR
Workington
1 - 1
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
30%
25%
45%
45 39 6 0
11 Mar. 2025
BLY
Blyth Spartans
1 - 2
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
15%
19%
67%
44 25 19 +1
08 Mar. 2025
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
2 - 1
Bamber Bridge
BAM
68%
18%
15%
43 33 10 +1
04 Mar. 2025
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
0 - 0
Ilkeston Town FC
ILK
57%
22%
21%
43 38 5 0

Matches

Whitby Town
Whitby Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
MIC
Mickleover Sports FC
4 - 3
Whitby Town
WHI
35%
23%
42%
35 31 4 0
15 Mar. 2025
WHI
Whitby Town
1 - 0
Basford United
BAS
51%
23%
26%
35 33 2 0
08 Mar. 2025
HYD
Hyde
1 - 1
Whitby Town
WHI
63%
19%
18%
34 43 9 +1
01 Mar. 2025
WHI
Whitby Town
1 - 3
Worksop Town
WOR
14%
21%
65%
35 48 13 -1
22 Feb. 2025
PRE
Prescot Cables
1 - 0
Whitby Town
WHI
42%
23%
35%
36 38 2 -1