Gainsborough Trinity vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
1 - 1
RAD
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
1 - 0
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
GAI
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 0
GAI
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
2 - 1
MOR
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BUX
2 - 2
MOR
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUX
4 - 0
RUS
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 2
BUX
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ASH
1 - 1
BUX
22%
24%
55%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BUX
5 - 1
SHC
74%
15%
11%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |