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Oberliga. Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar, Matchday 9

FSV Jägersburg vs Dudenhofen analysis

FSV Jägersburg Dudenhofen
4 ELO 6
79% Tilt 136%
12323º General ELO ranking 11979º
527º Country ELO ranking 486º
ELO win probability
42.1%
FSV Jägersburg
18.4%
Draw
39.5%
Dudenhofen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
FSV Jägersburg
2.51
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.8%
5-4
0.9%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
16.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
4.5%
4-4
1.7%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
0
18.4%
39.5%
Win probability
Dudenhofen
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
2.8%
4-5
0.8%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
1.3%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FSV Jägersburg
+37%
+55%
Dudenhofen

Points and table prediction

FSV Jägersburg
Their league position
Dudenhofen
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
22º
8
19º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schott Mainz
22
47
85%
FK Pirmasens
22
43
28%
TuS Koblenz
20
35
10%
Engers 07
18
37
11%
Diefflen
17
36
11%
Kaiserslautern II
16
35
9%
Gonsenheim
15
32
7%
Mechtersheim
13
36
5%
Mülheim-Kärlich
13
28
10º
5%
Auersmacher
10º
12
31
6%
Arminia Ludwigshafen
11º
12
22
17º
6%
Karbach
12º
11
28
11º
6%
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
13º
11
25
12º
6%
Pfeddersheim
14º
10
24
13º
5%
FSV Jägersburg
15º
10
22
16º
6%
Hertha Wiesbach
16º
9
23
15º
7%
Morlautern
17º
9
19
19º
5%
Dudenhofen
18º
8
23
14º
6%
SV 07 Elversberg II
19º
8
20
18º
7%
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
20º
7
18
21º
9%
Ahrweiler
21º
6
14
22º
10%
Kirchberg
22º
5
18
20º
11%
Expected probabilities
FSV Jägersburg
Dudenhofen
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
6% 8%
Relegation playoffs
26% 25%
Mid-table
68% 67%

ELO progression

FSV Jägersburg
JAG
Dudenhofen
DUD
Morlautern
MOR
Mechtersheim
MEC
Diefflen
DIE
Auersmacher
AUE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FSV Jägersburg
FSV Jägersburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO JAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2022
HWI
Hertha Wiesbach
2 - 3
FSV Jägersburg
JAG
47%
27%
26%
72 116 44 +1
10 Sep. 2022
JAG
FSV Jägersburg
3 - 1
SV 07 Elversberg II
ELV
45%
27%
28%
72 99 -27 +1
03 Sep. 2022
ARL
Arminia Ludwigshafen
0 - 2
FSV Jägersburg
JAG
44%
27%
29%
70 82 12 +1
26 Aug. 2022
JAG
FSV Jägersburg
3 - 6
Kaiserslautern II
KAI
41%
28%
31%
70 192 -122 -1
21 Aug. 2022
PIR
FK Pirmasens
3 - 0
FSV Jägersburg
JAG
46%
27%
26%
70 153 83 -1

Matches

Dudenhofen
Dudenhofen
1%
X%
2%
ELO DUD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
DUD
Dudenhofen
1 - 2
Morlautern
MOR
47%
27%
26%
106 70 36 -1
03 Sep. 2022
HWI
Hertha Wiesbach
2 - 2
Dudenhofen
DUD
44%
27%
29%
96 103 7 0
28 Aug. 2022
DUD
Dudenhofen
2 - 4
SV 07 Elversberg II
ELV
44%
27%
29%
107 97 10 -1
19 Aug. 2022
ARL
Arminia Ludwigshafen
0 - 5
Dudenhofen
DUD
45%
27%
28%
106 82 -24 +1
13 Aug. 2022
DUD
Dudenhofen
0 - 3
Kaiserslautern II
KAI
45%
27%
29%
107 191 -84 -1