National . Jor. 6

Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Épinal analysis

Fréjus St-Raphaël Épinal
64 ELO 60
-3.7% Tilt -1.2%
4230º General ELO ranking 3394º
81º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
52.3%
Fréjus St-Raphaël
24.8%
Draw
22.9%
Épinal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.9%
Win probability
Épinal
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fréjus St-Raphaël
+5%
+15%
Épinal

ELO progression

Fréjus St-Raphaël
Épinal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fréjus St-Raphaël
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2011
PFC
Paris FC
2 - 0
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
39%
26%
34%
65 60 5 0
26 Aug. 2011
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1 - 0
Cherbourg
CHE
66%
21%
13%
65 54 11 0
20 Aug. 2011
FCM
FC Martigues
3 - 2
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
33%
27%
40%
66 58 8 -1
12 Aug. 2011
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
2 - 0
Nîmes
NÎM
53%
26%
21%
64 62 2 +2
05 Aug. 2011
RED
Red Star
1 - 2
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
21%
28%
51%
62 51 11 +2

Matches

Épinal
Épinal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2011
SPI
Épinal
2 - 2
Vannes
VAN
34%
28%
38%
59 65 6 0
27 Aug. 2011
LPS
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
1 - 2
Épinal
SPI
33%
27%
39%
59 55 4 0
20 Aug. 2011
SPI
Épinal
5 - 1
Creteil
LUS
40%
28%
32%
58 61 3 +1
12 Aug. 2011
LUZ
Luzenac
1 - 2
Épinal
SPI
46%
25%
28%
56 56 0 +2
06 Aug. 2011
SPI
Épinal
3 - 0
Colmar
COL
43%
28%
29%
54 55 1 +2
X