Free State Stars vs Maritzburg United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 1
FRE
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 2
SSU
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
PLS
2 - 1
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 3
FRE
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Maritzburg United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
BID
1 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
31%
28%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |