Fortuna Wormerveer vs AGB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
11º
8º
46
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
6 - 1
FWO
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FWO
2 - 5
VVK
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SDZ
2 - 0
FWO
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FWO
1 - 4
SVH
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 0
FWO
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VVK
0 - 1
AGB
25%
20%
55%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AGB
4 - 1
SVH
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 1
AGB
13%
16%
71%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AGB
7 - 1
HIL
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LSV
2 - 5
AGB
14%
18%
67%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |