Fortuna Köln vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1995 |
ARB
2 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1995 |
KÖL
1 - 2
CHE
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
CZJ
1 - 0
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
KÖL
3 - 4
KAI
23%
27%
51%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
KÖL
0 - 2
UNT
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
M05
0 - 2
FCN
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
HER
2 - 0
M05
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
M05
0 - 0
MEP
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
SCN
2 - 2
M05
27%
23%
51%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
ZWI
3 - 0
M05
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |