Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
SWE
0 - 0
F95
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
F95
2 - 1
WUP
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
VIK
1 - 1
F95
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1966 |
F95
1 - 2
OFC
56%
19%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
F95
2 - 0
ARB
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
PRE
1 - 1
WUP
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
ARB
3 - 0
PRE
58%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
PRE
4 - 0
RTV
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1966 |
KSC
3 - 0
PRE
82%
11%
7%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
LEV
3 - 2
PRE
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |